Sisamau by-election: SP’s stronghold or BJP’s new strategy, who will win in the game of caste equations?

Sishamau Bypoll Election 2024: By-elections will be held on 9 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh on 13 November. Among these, the famous seat of Kanpur, Sisamau seat is also included. This seat has become vacant after the conviction of SP MLA Irfan Solanki. This seat is counted among the hot seats of the state, that is why everyone’s eyes are on Sisamau seat.

Sisamau assembly seat is considered the stronghold of Samajwadi Party. SP is in possession of this seat since 2012. Like other seats in the state, caste equations matter a lot here too. Muslim, Brahmin and Dalit factors play a big role in the victory or defeat of the candidates. If a voter of even one of these communities deviates, the political equations collapse.

SP trusts Solanki family
Muslim voters play a decisive role in victory or defeat in Sisamau seat of Kanpur. Apart from this, Brahmin and Dalit factor is very important, which plays an important role in deciding the fate of any political party. On this seat, Samajwadi Party has once again expressed confidence in the Solanki family.

Samajwadi Party has fielded Naseem Solanki, wife of current MLA Irfan Solanki. SP has again handed over the reins to the Solanki family to solve caste equations. Another reason for this is that Bharatiya Janata Party and Bahujan Samaj Party have tried their luck on Brahmin faces from here.

Caste equation in Sisamau
The number of Muslim voters in this seat is about 40 percent, which plays a one-sided role in someone’s victory or defeat. In Sisamau, whichever political party has been successful in attracting Muslim voters, their victory is considered certain.

There is also an equation on this seat between Dalit and Brahmin voters who vote unitedly, then that candidate is considered to have won. BJP has fielded Suresh Awasthi, who has been defeated twice on this seat, and he belongs to the Brahmin community. On the other hand, to woo Dalit voters, BJP officials are camping in their localities.

BSP has fielded a strong candidate in Sisamau. BSP has been considering Dalit voters as its core voters and has made Virendra Shukla its candidate to attract Brahmin voters to its side. Having two Brahmin candidates from here could spoil the win-loss graph. It is being said that this will divide the votes of the upper class into two parts.

Therefore, Bharatiya Janata Party is trying its best to woo Dalit voters. On the contrary, it is considered easier for Bahujan Samaj Party to attract the Dalit vote bank towards itself. The BSP candidate is considered to have a strong hold on the Brahmin vote bank.

Main contest between SP-BJP?
The main fight in Sisamau is believed to be between Samajwadi Party and BJP, but with the entry of BSP and selection of candidate, SP can spoil the game of BJP. Along with the Solanki family’s Muslim vote bank, SP is considered to have a strong hold on the core voters, which includes both Dalits and Brahmins.

SP will also get the benefit of alliance with Congress. Sanjeev Daryabadi of Congress has been the MLA on this seat from 2002 to 2012. Sanjeev Daryabadi has good influence among Dalit voters. In such a situation, Sanjeev Daryabadi will also play an important role in the victory of the SP candidate.

BSP increased difficulties
The problems of BJP’s Brahmin candidate Suresh Awasthi may increase to some extent. To make a dent in the vote bank of SP and BSP, the BJP candidate and its officials will have to work harder and will have to prepare a new plan. BSP Virendra Shukla can spoil the game of BJP.

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